SA Shelley, WH Luyties: OWOE is a small site, with just a few dedicated and experienced staff who follow energy technologies, economics and policies. Occasionally, OWOE bloggers dare to forecast energy developments that tend to be contrarian, and, much to everyone's surprise, they have been very good at forecasting trends correctly and ahead of much larger analytical organizations. Are we that good at more quickly analyzing publicly available information along with some insight and soft analysis? Or do we have access to the dark arts such as whiskey and voodoo?
From the early days of OWOE, and especially over the last six months, the prescience and value of OWOE blogs has been proven by the volume of similar analysis and conclusions that have followed after OWOE blogs have been posted. Some examples:
Oil price collapse (due to building supply and slowing demand)
EVs are Evil (through their ability to destroy industries and the jobs that go along with them)
EBuses will have a greater effect on oil demand than EVs
Canada will lose $trillions in oil revenue
Large oil companies to focus on short term production investments
Switch from ICEs to other forms of transport
So, how well have we done at OWOE? Very well, indeed!
And how do we consistently do so well? There are several reasons:
If we get stuck or our analysis proves inconclusive, then we may call upon the dark arts for assistance. It is surprising how good a shot of whiskey and a chat with a voodoo doll can help; however, it can be dangerous to rely upon such mystic arts lest too much is foreseen.
In the end, it's all about keeping OWOE readers informed and providing different perspectives. Please don't hesitate to request from the OWOE bloggers any particular energy related analysis, discussion or forecast for which you may have a need. OWOE bloggers have yet to charge for anything, not even lunch.